What's new
The Debate And Political discussion Forum

Brexit may have begun but it is not over, indeed it may never be finished.

Net Profit: Rafa's Winning Formula At Melbourne Park

Brexiter

Active member
There is an invisible alliance between first serves and net points.

An Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers analysis of Rafael Nadal’s victory at the 2022 Australian Open uncovered the Spaniard was most successful coming forward when the point started with his first serve. Nadal came to the net 167 times in seven matches at Melbourne Park last year, with an eye-opening 50 per cent of them (84) occurring when Nadal started the point with a first serve.

2022 Australian Open: Nadal Net Points Played

Point StartedTotal
%
1st Serve8450%
1st Serve Return3521%
2nd Serve2515%
2nd Serve Return2314%
TOTAL167100%

It’s important to note that the analysis includes net points played at all rally lengths, not just immediately following a serve or return. It’s logical to discover that Nadal’s pin-point first serve facilitates most net points, but it goes against the grain that Nadal came to the net second most when returning first serves. Nadal is known to take up an extremely deep return position well behind the baseline when returning first serves, but that clearly does not stop him from finding his way forward to the net to finish points.

Another hypothesis is that the server immediately hits a drop shot to take advantage of his deep return position. That theory gains legs when you see that Nadal only won 54 per cent (19/35) of points when the point started for him with a first serve return. That’s well below the win percentage of the three other scenarios.

2022 Australian Open: Nadal Net Points Won

Point StartedWon/Played% Won
2nd Serve22/2588%
1st Serve63/8475%
2nd Serve Return17/2374%
1st Serve Return19/3554%
TOTAL121/16772%

Overall, Nadal won a commendable 72 per cent (121/167) of his net points on Rod Laver Arena last year, with points won behind his second serve, delivering the highest win percentage at 88 per cent (22/25).

When the point started with Nadal’s first serve, the Spaniard was able to play more than double the amount of points at net compared to finishing the point standing at the baseline compared to the other three ways a point started.

2022 Australian Open: Nadal Net Points vs. Baseline Points Played

Point StartedNet PointsBaseline Points
1st Serve26%74%
2nd Serve12%88%
1st Serve Return11%89%
2nd Serve Return11%89%

Nadal’s first serve was clearly a great enabler of his net game last year, and there is every reason to think the Spaniard will employ the exact same tactics this year in search of Grand Slam title number 23.
 
Back
Top